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U.S. Voters Enthusiastic, Anxious as 2020 Campaign Ends
U.S. Voters Enthusiastic, Anxious as 2020 Campaign Ends
Via Gallup:
As the 2020 race for president draws to a close, U.S. voters are feeling both enthusiastic about voting and fearful of what the outcome will mean for the country if their candidate loses. Most also agree that the stakes are higher than in previous presidential elections.
Against this fraught backdrop, former Vice President Joe Biden enjoys a slightly better image with the American people than does President Donald Trump, earning a 49% favorable rating to Trump’s 45%. Biden’s favorability advantage widens to five percentage points among registered voters and to nine points among likely voters.
Meanwhile, the Republican Party roughly matches the Democratic Party in favorability from Americans as a whole and registered voters — 44% and 45%, respectively. The GOP trails the Democratic Party in favorability by five points, 43% to 48%, among likely voters.
In the latest poll, conducted Oct. 16-27, 77% of Americans say they have given “quite a lot of thought” to the election for president, about average for the past six elections. However, in a sign that voter turnout may not be favorable to Trump, Democrats have a slight edge over Republicans on this measure. Eighty percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they have given the election quite a lot of thought compared with 75% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. Still, given that this year’s final preelection estimate was collected earlier than in prior election years, turnout may ultimately be higher.
This is the broad picture of voters’ election mindset and orientation to the candidates from Gallup’s final preelection poll of 2020. Read on for more details, including who has already voted and who plans to vote in person on Nov. 3.
Neither Trump nor Biden are viewed favorably by a majority of Americans, although Biden is closer, with 49% holding a favorable and 48% an unfavorable opinion of him. Trump’s favorable rating is now 45%, with 54% viewing him unfavorably.
Gallup has measured opinions of presidential candidates using the binary favorable/unfavorable rating in all eight elections since 1992. In most election years, at least one of the two major-party candidates, if not both, were viewed favorably by a majority of Americans. In only two elections — 2016 and 2020 — both candidates failed to appeal to more than half of Americans, and 1992 just barely escaped this characterization as Bill Clinton was viewed favorably by 51% and George H. W. Bush by 43%.
Looking at likely voters, Biden’s 52% favorability rating is much better than Hillary Clinton’s 43% at the same point four years ago, and comparable to Obama’s in 2012. Trump’s 43% favorable rating among likely voters is slightly better than his 39% in 2016, but otherwise the lowest for any Republican presidential candidate in Gallup records since 1992.
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